SIMON KERR'S
HEDGE FUND BLOG
Views on the hedge fund
industry and traded markets 24 December 2009
A Creative Way to Build a Hedge Fund
Brand Name � Broadwalk Asset Management.
I was listening to trader trainer
Michael Martin interview Jim Rogers on his excellent
website (http://martinkronicle.com/),
and I heard Jimmy Rogers say that investors should stay
with what they know and are interested in. In working
with portfolio managers I often ask them which sectors
or types of stock they are good at investing in, and
which they can’t seem to get right. It may be they can’t
read retailers, or always seem to mis-time growth
stocks, but it is very important to eliminate what you
are not good at as a trader or investor. I think of it
as playing defence to some extent � by eliminating a
repeated error, and focussing on what you are provenly
good at your returns have to improve.
There may be an element of ego
involved – it may seem a sign of weakness on the part of
a money manager to leave out a sector or type of stock
from their universe. But investors, and ultimately the
manager, will only be interested in the scale of returns
achieved. So my conviction is to put the ego to one
side, check the data, and eliminate areas of weakness.
For example I worked with a manager who occasionally
dabbled in the financial sector, but whose major
strength was in consumer-related sectors. Analysis
showed that the hit rate (percentage winning trades) was
a lot lower in financial stocks than in other sectors,
and I advised leaving the financials alone. Losses in
the financial positions were slightly larger than those
typically tolerated. If anything the stop-losses should
have been tighter and positions sized smaller initially.
The ultimate specialism is sector
funds, a strategy area I hope to return to shortly in
more detail. In Europe we have begun to be used to hedge
funds specialising in sectors, though they are a well
established and successful phenomenon of the US hedge
fund industry. Investor interest in sector hedge funds
should be strong – the return data suggests they can
offer enhanced return and lower correlation with markets
if the funds have an appropriate framework for portfolio
structure. The evidence for this contention is stronger
at the manager level than at the index level - there is
scope to add a lot of value to a portfolio hedge funds
through manager selection in sector funds.
I came across an unusual sector fund
this month. The Broadwalk Select Services Fund, run by
Charlie Cottam, is Europe’s first "Services" sector
focused fund. The Fund has been going since June last
year, and it has been going rather well. Most hedge
funds made money in the first half of 2008 and lost more
than their first half gains in the second half of the
year. The Broadwalk Select Services Fund was up 1.3%
over the last seven months of 2008 through putting in
four down months and three up months. Obviously the
average up-month in 2008 was bigger than the average
down-month!
Charlie Cottam preserved capital well
in the first few months of this year, and did better
thereafter: through the end of November the Fund is up
44% for the year. The relevant market index for the fund
is the FT-All Share Index (the Fund concentrates on UK
companies), and that benchmark was down in four months
of 2009, and the Fund managed by Broadwalk Asset
Management was down in only one of those months. Over
the whole life of the Fund the FT-All share has been
down 14.6%. According to the manager he didn’t get
properly invested until February/March of this year, but
once he did he made excellent returns through stock
selection – the net is now about 80%, and the fund is
concentrated (large position size).
The manager of the Fund claims two
forms of competitive edge: better information and
original analysis. The original analysis comes from
Cottam’s experience on the sell-side. As a chartered
accountant himself he sees accounting issues not well
understood by those analysing the service sector
specifically. He may have a point as there are few
sell-side analysts in the sector with similar tenure as
an analyst. The manager himself sees an advantage in his
ability to use his been-through-the-cycle experience to
turn around his conception on a company and stock
quickly – he can grab an emerging opportunity at the
time when other analysts are getting out their
apocryphal pen to write a research note.
Cottam is an experienced sell-side
analyst, and in that may be a true edge as he was
company broker to 33 UK corporates. This unique
arrangement for UK quoted companies – a corporate
brokership for each quoted company – gives the appointed
broker a privileged position in terms of access to
management. Cottam has kept his company network intact
as he has moved to the buy side. His management contacts
and experience of individual management teams based on
their historic behaviour helps Cottam to spot the early
warning signs of change in outlook for companies and
sectors. His sell side experience enables him to
understand the flow information on stocks and their
relative positioning in the market.
So Charlie Cottam uses his deep
experience in service companies to extract alpha –
staying with what he knows and is interested in. He has
also taken steps to reinforce his edge by keeping senior
management engaged with Broadwalk – last year he
initiated the Broadwalk Business Services Awards. This
is the second year of the Broadwalk Business Services
awards to recognise outstanding achievements by quoted
companies in the business services sectors. The UK often
leads the world in business services -it is one of the
less well-known success stories of the economy, and
these awards are a step towards raising its profile. The
categories and 2009 winners are: Company of the year
(Aggreko), CEO of the year (Nick Buckles, G4S), Chairman
of the year (John Peace, Experian), Deal of the year
(Balfour Beatty - Parsons Brinkerhoff), Small company of
the year (Hargreaves Services), and Entrepreneur of the
year (Michael O’Leary, Ryanair).
I think this is a terrific example of
creative thinking by a hedge fund manager, and Charlie
Cottam’s entrepreneurialism and unusual means of brand
building are to be commended.
http://simonkerrhfblog.blogspot.com/
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